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The answer to that question very much depends on who you ask. And increasingly, the person being asked will have a strong opinion. For two centuries or more, scientists have been measuring an increasing level of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere, beginning in the 19th century as industrial nations began burning increasing amounts of carbon-based fuel. There are indications of temperature increases, but there is vigorous debate within the scientific community whether this is global warming due to CO2 or due to cycles as observed in geologic time. In the same time frame, petroleum engineers and geoscientists have been advancing and developing the technology to use CO2 from natural sources, such as the geological domes in the southwest to squeeze up to 20% more oil out of mature water-flooded reservoirs. These CO2 floods are now contributing over 4% of the domestic oil supply. Environmentalists and oil companies have a long history of conflicting interests and it's no small irony that the technology developed by the oil companies is viewed as one of the front-line means of reducing the growth of greenhouse gases. This technology, the long-term sequestration of CO2 in geological formations, has brought about an alignment of oil company and environmental interests. This article will look at recent events and research efforts in CO2-enhanced oil recovery (EOR), sequestration, where the CO2 comes from, how it can be reduced and what role the U.S. and other governments are playing.
This new partnership was very evident at the 11th Annual CO2 Flooding Conference and Carbon Management Workshop held in Midland, Texas, December 6 - 9. (Go to
www.spe-pb.org for agendas and presentation downloads). This conference has grown from a local operations meeting, spawned by the DOE Reservoir Class field demonstration program among the Permian Basin operators, to a global workshop on CO2 flooding technology and carbon management. The December meeting attracted over 400 people from 10 countries and 20 states and represented 135 different companies, laboratories and
government agencies. Speakers and attendees
included, as one would expect, engineers and
scientists, but also lawyers,
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government representatives, emission traders,
bankers and environmental interests. Much of the information in this article can
be found in the 45 presentations made in the two sessions. The body of knowledge
and entities engaged in CO2 flooding and sequestration is enormous. At the
May 2 - 5, 2005 4th Annual DOE conference on Carbon Capture &
Sequestration, there were 130 oral papers and 60 posters from 18 countries. The
bi-annual SPE Improved Oil Recovery Symposium (www.IOR2006.org) has multiple sessions on the topic. The DOE has formed seven regional partnerships comprised of 240 organizations spanning 40 states, three Indian nations and four Canadian provinces to pursue the technology of capture, separation and sequestration of CO2 and is sponsoring over 85 active research projects. PTTC has sponsored CO2 workshops in Illinois, New Mexico, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Mississippi and California. (www.pttc.org/solutions.htm)
Speakers in Midland cited a number of recent events that demonstrate the convergence of the market for commodity CO2 for use in enhanced oil recovery and sequestered CO2 and resulting tradable offsets:
With Russia's ratification of the Kyoto Accord, it became legally binding, requiring a 5.2% reduction in GHG emissions from the industrialized world
- Early trading of CO2 emission credits between Kyoto and non-Kyoto countries begins in $25/ton range
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- New Jersey declares CO2 a pollutant
- U.S. commodity market for manufactured CO2 reaches $30/ton
- Canada begins developing cap and trade program
- AEP and other large Northeast Utilities set emission reduction targets—4% in 2006 over 1998
Peter Fusaro of Global Change Associates and Michael Moore of CO2 Global commented on the growing market for the trading of GHG credits, similar to the U.S. markets for NOx and SOx. This activity is taking place within the Kyoto countries and does not yet include credits for CO2 EOR. However, trading between Kyoto and non-Kyoto countries is emerging but it is very thin and illiquid. The market farthest along is the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) which commenced on January 1, 2005. The scheme will work on a "Cap and Trade" basis, with EU member state governments setting the cap for all installations. Early trades for current periods have been in the €30/ton range ($35.90 US at today's conversion). Forecasts for EU ETS range from $20 to $50/ton and are expected to settle around $30/ton. This would suggest that if an operator can capture and sequester an emitted MCF of CO2, they could receive a credit of just under $2 when the protocols are finalized and the markets mature. |